Saturday, January 19, 2008

What's your prediction?

Here's my prediction for tonight's Republican primaries:

-Romney beats McCain in Nevada
-Huckabee beats McCain in South Carolina

McCain is hurt badly by two consecutive losses and begins to fade. Huckabee and Romney go head to head for the nomination, but everybody knows Huckabee is wobbly and weak on just about every issue--from taxes to foreign policy to immigration. The economy becomes the most important issue, and who's positioned best to address it? Romney. He consistently comes out ahead on this issue in the polls, and he'll carry that strength with him into Florida and the remaining primary states. Oh, and what about Guiliani? Well, that's just the question. What about Guiliani? He's done. He picked the wrong strategy for picking up delegates (duh!) and he shouldn't have made dumb mistakes, like, among other things, taking his mistress for rides in state paid-for police cruisers  (duh, again!). 

That's it. Romney wins the nomination. Easy enough, right?

2 comments:

Lisa said...

I think Romney is doing a good job of spinning his Nevada win and is well positioned going into Florida. If he loses to McCain there, however I think he is in trouble. But he has a pretty good chance overall of getting this nomination.

Marc said...

Romney has an outside shot at winning Florida because independents can't vote, but McCain will still probably win. If Romney loses Florida, he'll be throwing away A LOT of money if he decides to stay in.

Any possibility that McCain would tap Romney for VP?